Showing posts with label Tim Iacono. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Tim Iacono. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

How Unusual is a 20+% Correction in Oil?



Interesting post by Tim Iacono, "How Unusual is a 'Bear Market' in Oil?":

A story in USA Today today began "Finally, investors have a bear to get excited about. Oil now is in unofficial bear market territory, with the price of a barrel of crude falling to $115.20, down 21% from its July 3 peak."

A good question to have asked prior to writing an article such as this, something that apparently doesn't occur to the new "oil bear market" enthusiasts, is whether a 20 percent decline in the price of crude oil is unusual or statistically significant in any way.